How much does the average Magic card lose after a set releases?

Across the 16 sets we track, the average mythic settles near 69% of its release-week price by week 16, and the average rare holds around 89%. Supply peaks at release while everyone is opening packs, so prices slide, then flatten.

When do Magic prices stabilize after release?

In our data the average set flattens out fast: around week 5 for commons and week 7 for mythics. After that, a card's price is driven more by demand and reprints than by the launch flood.

Where does this data come from?

We pull market prices for Magic singles daily and roll them up by set and rarity, indexed to each rarity's release-week median. Preorder asking prices are excluded so the curve reflects real sales. It updates every day.

16 sets tracked

Magic Set Price Trends

We track the daily price of every Magic single and roll it up by set. Here is the typical path prices take after a set hits shelves, averaged across 16 recent sets: the average mythic holds about 69 on a release-week index of 100 by week 16, and rares hold near 89. Each set runs its own course around this baseline. Tap any below to see how it compares.

Each number is a price index: the rarity's release-week median price is set to 100, so 69 means the average mythic trades at 69% of its release price by week 16. These are the cross-set averages; each set runs above or below them, and its own page shows where.

Mythic-31%

69/ 100down 31% since releaseStabilizes ~wk 7

Rare-11%

89/ 100down 11% since releaseStabilizes ~wk 7

Uncommon-27%

73/ 100down 27% since releaseStabilizes ~wk 8

Common-29%

71/ 100down 29% since releaseStabilizes ~wk 5

The average post-release curve

Each line is the average price index by rarity across 16 sets, indexed to release week (100). This is the baseline the dashed line on every individual set page is drawn against. Hover for a week-by-week readout.

MythicRareUncommonCommon

Price trends by set

Every set we track, each measured against the average above. Tap one to see its curve and how it held up versus the baseline.

Reading the baseline

New sets almost always slide for the first stretch as boxes get cracked and supply peaks. The average curve flattens within a couple of months. A set that holds well above this line has real demand under it; one that runs below it got opened heavily or lacked staples. The dashed reference on each set page makes that comparison at a glance.

Want to see what is moving right now instead of the long average? Check the Magic price movers, or find a local game store that carries Magic singles.

Questions

How much does the average Magic card lose after a set releases?: Across the 16 sets we track, the average mythic settles near 69% of its release-week price by week 16, and the average rare holds around 89%. Supply peaks at release while everyone is opening packs, so prices slide, then flatten.
When do Magic prices stabilize after release?: In our data the average set flattens out fast: around week 5 for commons and week 7 for mythics. After that, a card's price is driven more by demand and reprints than by the launch flood.
Where does this data come from?: We pull market prices for Magic singles daily and roll them up by set and rarity, indexed to each rarity's release-week median. Preorder asking prices are excluded so the curve reflects real sales. It updates every day.

See today's Magic price movers

The trends here are our own analysis, not raw card prices. Don’t reuse them without permission. See the terms.